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Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextPublication details: London Random House Business 2015Description: 340pISBN:
  • 9781847947154(pbk.)
Subject(s): DDC classification:
  • 303.49  TET
Summary: "What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it."
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https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/418198/superforecasting-by-philip-tetlock-and-dan-gardner/9781847947154

"What if we could improve our ability to predict the future?

Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it."

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