Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction
Tetlock, Philip
Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction - London Random House Business 2015 - 340p.
https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/418198/superforecasting-by-philip-tetlock-and-dan-gardner/9781847947154
"What if we could improve our ability to predict the future?
Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it."
9781847947154(pbk.)
Forecasting
Economic forecasting
Perception
303.49 / TET
Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction - London Random House Business 2015 - 340p.
https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/418198/superforecasting-by-philip-tetlock-and-dan-gardner/9781847947154
"What if we could improve our ability to predict the future?
Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it."
9781847947154(pbk.)
Forecasting
Economic forecasting
Perception
303.49 / TET